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Tesla overtakes VW as world’s second most valuable carmaker

Tesla overtakes VW as world’s second most valuable carmaker

NEW YORK, Jan 24: Tesla Inc has overtaken Germany’s Volkswagen as the world’s second most valuable carmaker behind Japan’s Toyota, as the meteoric rise in the US electric vehicle maker’s shares reshuffles the global market. Tesla’s stock has more than doubled in value in the last three months, with its market capitalization piercing $100 billion on Wednesday, a first for a listed US automaker. During the rally, its value has leapfrogged more established global rivals: Honda, BMW, General Motors and Daimler. On Wednesday, it eclipsed VW’s $99.4 billion value. Toyota still holds pole position with a market cap of $233 billion. The recent gains have been fueled by a surprise third-quarter profit, progress at a new factory in China and better-than-expected car deliveries in the fourth quarter. Many investors remain skeptical that Tesla can consistently deliver profit, cash flow and growth. But the gains highlight growing confidence among investors about the future of electric vehicles and Tesla’s shift from a niche car maker into a global leader in cleaner cars. A glance at its results shows it has a long way to go before it can eclipse larger rivals. Based on 12-month forward sales estimates, it doesn’t even appear in the top 20 in the world. The company’s sales will reach $31 billion, a slither of Toyota’s $276 billion, VW’s $283 billion and Daimler’s $191 billion, according to Refinitiv data. Meanwhile, Tesla Inc shares surged on Wednesday, and the company became the first publicly listed US automaker to cross $100 billion in market valuation, more than Ford Motor Co and General Motors Co combined. Shares of the electric carmaker were up 8.1 per cent at $591.78 in late morning trading, continuing their furious rally that has more than doubled the share price in the last three months. It “speaks to the inflection in electric vehicle demand globally,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in an email. “The skeptics have been proven wrong, and the $100 billion market cap is sending the bears into hibernation mode.” The milestone comes less than a month after Tesla’s stock crossed $420, the price at which Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk had tweeted he would take the electric-car maker private. Musk tweeted he had “funding secured” to take the company private in August 2018, when its shares were trading in the mid-$330s, only to later give up under investor pressure and regulatory concerns. “The liquidity concern for now is off the table, and that opens up the ... base to new investors,” said Ben Kallo, senior research analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co., which on Jan. 9 downgraded its rating on the stock to neutral. A higher stock price also helps attract employee talent, Kallo said. “In a technology sector where it is very hard to recruit and retain employees, especially in the Bay Area, the stock price helps.” Tesla’s market value also puts Musk a step closer to earning the first $346 million tranche of options in a record-breaking pay package. The $100 billion market capitalization needs to stay for both a one-month and six-month average in order to trigger the vesting of the first of 12 tranches of options granted to Musk to buy Tesla stock. The recent rally in Tesla’s shares was fueled by a rare quarterly profit in October, news of production ramp-up in its China factory and better-than-expected annual car deliveries. In a bullish report Wednesday, Wedbush analysts said that robust demand in China and Europe alongside “aggressive” trajectory of Gigafactory 3 production will boost fourth-quarter earnings. Wedbush has a neutral rating on the stock. Tesla is set to report its earnings on Jan. 29 after markets close.

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