Trump and his generals Trump and his generals By Krishnan Srinivasan Not even US President Donald Trump's worst enemies
would deny that he has fulfilled many election
campaign foreign policy promises, including opting
out of international agreements on climate change,
the Iran nuclear accord and the Trans-Pacific
Partnership, the relocation of the US embassy to
Jerusalem, and pressurising allies to pay more for
joint defence. A matter for surprise then, is that
another Trump campaign pledge, to end the 'endless
wars' and bring American troops abroad back home,
specifically to withdraw US forces from Syria and
Afghanistan, is met with denunciation and open or
indirect obstruction from both civilian and military
circles.
The opposition within
This opposition, marked by some high-level
resignations such as Secretary of Defence James
Mattis - which have been accorded hero-martyr status
by the media - has been provoked by Mr. Trump's
decision to repatriate some 2,000 forces from Syria
and around 7,000, which is around half the total
number, from Afghanistan. Mr. Trump's moves are
condemned as isolationist and favouring the 'enemies'
of the US, especially Russia and Iran. Regarding
Afghanistan, his opposition was not astute enough to
perceive that the drawdown was a necessary prelude to
direct negotiations with the Taliban. The objectors
also imply that Israel is exposed to greater danger,
a cause certain to enjoy bi-partisan favour. General
Mattis, in his resignation letter, wrote he was
leaving "because you have the right to have a
Secretary of Defense whose views are better aligned
with yours." It is amazing that it took him two years
to detect any misalignment.
No proposal to draw down the US military presence
abroad will be acceptable to Mr. Trump's critics,
because the American military-industrial complex
referenced by President Dwight Eisenhower in 1961
still holds the civilian authority in thrall, and
since World War l, US foreign policy has been totally
militarised. To every international problem,
Washington has only two responses: the application of
sanctions, and the threat or use of force.
Mr. Trump is vilified as isolationist by the
mainstream media, evidence that the neo-imperial
spirit and god-given right to hold military hegemony
is deeply internalised in the entire US
establishment. So also is the Francis Fukuyama
prediction that "the end point of mankind's
ideological evolution [is the] universalisation of
Western liberal democracy as the final form of human
government." Insinuations about a sellout foreshadow
whatever contact Mr. Trump wishes to make with the
only world power that can incinerate the US, though
every previous US leader held talks with his Russian
counterpart to make the world a safer place. This has
less to do with Special Counsel Robert Mueller's
interminable inquiry about Russian collusion, and
more with the imagining of America's role in the
world. The New York Times writes of a "world order
that the US has led for 73 years since the Second
World War", accusing Mr. Trump of reducing that
"global footprint needed to keep that order
together". The same theme is dutifully echoed by
compliant European allies such as Germany's
Chancellor Angela Merkel, who in July 2018 bewailed
that under Mr. Trump the US could not be relied upon
to "impose order". But whose order?
Mr. Trump is wrong in asserting that the US destroyed
the Islamic State (IS) in Syria, not only because
there are some remnants of it left, but because while
US-coalition aircraft have dropped ordnance from
several thousand feet and killed innumerable
civilians in the process, the actual fighting against
the IS has been done by Kurds in northeast Syria, and
the Assad government, Russians, Iranians and
Hezbollah elsewhere. The small US contingent of about
2,000 serves to train and supply the Kurds, constrain
the Turks and obstruct progress towards a peace
settlement. As elsewhere, the Americans are ready to
fight till the last local soldier. Mr. Trump has the
support of Congress, media and the military on a
tough line on Iran - again, a campaign promise - but
in West Asia, Mr. Trump outsources local action to
allies such as Saudi Arabia, turning a blind eye to
its criminal activities in Yemen and also the murder
of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
In the process of demonising Mr. Trump,
accountability, responsibility and civilian oversight
are discarded, while people in uniform and in the
shadows - the ubiquitous US intelligence services -
are raised on lofty pedestals, encouraging
dissidence. To no surprise, Mr. Trump's announcements
have resulted in a flurry of alarmist reactions. As
demanded by the media and Congress, the US National
Aeronautics and Space Administration cancelled
meetings with its Russian counterpart, and an end to
US-Russia collaboration in space appears probable.
The Pentagon now reports that China seeks expansion
by "military and non-military means" and military
bases in Pakistan, Cambodia, and elsewhere that the
American public have never heard of. The Pentagon
concludes that China is "developing the capacity to
dissuade, deter, and defeat a potential third-party
[read, US] intervention in regional conflicts". With
a second summit between Mr. Trump and North Korean
Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un in the offing, the media
is predictably cautioning against any reduction of US
forces in South Korea as a result of any US-North
Korean détente, with head of the American Joint
Chiefs of Staff, General Joseph Dunford, weighing in
to predict that China "probably poses the greatest
threat to our nation by about 2025".
Last word with Iran
The last word rests with Iran, regarded as an enemy
by both Mr. Trump and his domestic adversaries. When
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo claimed in
January that "when America retreats, chaos often
follows", Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif countered by tweeting, "Whenever and wherever
US interferes, chaos, repression, and resentment
follow." No one in the United States is listening.
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